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Bluffing Fundamentals

Bluffing · updated 2026-03-08

Basics

Factor Meaning
Board structure Who connects more often? What is the opponent's range?
Runouts Which cards improve your range or his range?

Flop types by fold equity

Type Examples Characteristics
Bad J97, T98, QJT Connected, both ranges hit hard
Neutral J97r, 345r, T95s Both ranges partially connect
Good A93r, K82r, Q64r Dry, preflop aggressor advantage

Runouts

For preflop aggressor:

Type Examples Action
Good Q/K/A, no completed draws Barrel
Neutral J+, weak draws Barrel selectively
Bad Completed straight/flush, paired board Give up

For caller:

Type Examples Action
Good Paired middle card, third to straight Lead, raise
Neutral Small overcards Attack sometimes
Bad A/K pairing top pair Give up initiative

How opponent's range changes across streets

Street What folds
Flop Air and marginal hands
Turn Remaining weak + some medium
River Medium hands, missed draws

Opponent's range structure

  1. Air
  2. Weak (backdoors, small pairs)
  3. Medium (middle pairs, weak top pairs)
  4. Strong (top pairs with kicker)
  5. Nuts
  6. Draws

Barrel against 1–3. If few of them remain, no reason to continue.


Bluff math (0% equity)

Sizing BE% Needed folds
30% 23% >23%
50% 33% >33%
70% 41% >41%
120% 55% >55%

Conclusions


Common spot presets

1. RFI vs BB (SRP)

Position Flop Turn River Comment
IP (CO/BTN) Bet 33–50% Bet 60–75% (on good runouts) Bet 30–70% (thin value/bluff) High fold equity on dry boards
OOP (UTG/MP) Bet 50% (best boards) Check → Bet 60–70% selectively Check/Bet 50% More checks on neutral boards

2. SRP 3BP (IP vs OOP)

Spot Flop Turn River Comment
IP (BTN vs BB 3bet) Bet 33% (entire range on Axx, Kxx) Bet 60–70% (continue pressure) Bet 50% / Jam polar IP has range advantage
OOP (BB vs BTN 3bet) Check → check-raise some draws Bet 60% on good cards Check/Bet 50% polar Vulnerable to barrels

3. IP lines

Line When to use Sizings
Bet–Bet–Bet On good boards, high FE + value 50% → 70% → 50%
Bet–Check–Bet Turn is bad but river helps your range 50% → x → 70%
Check–Bet–Bet Slowplay flop or pot control x → 70% → 50%

4. OOP lines

Line When to use Sizings
Bet–Bet–Check Strong on flop/turn, river worsens 50% → 70% → x
Check–Call–Donk On runouts favoring OOP x → call → 75%
Check–Raise–Bet Strong draw/nuts on flop x/r 3x → 70%

Mini-summary

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